Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 9.491521 10.997641 12.613400 14.469742 16.537416 18.763573 21.335306
2025-03-16 7.378743 9.298266 11.491286 14.161899 17.304937 20.864872 25.179167
2025-03-23 6.145417 8.314652 10.926368 14.260528 18.358825 23.185659 29.250381
2025-03-30 5.172743 7.466732 10.361734 14.213639 19.128242 25.109893 32.853359
2025-04-06 4.506956 6.897506 10.043614 14.383584 20.100690 27.254499 36.747902
2025-04-13 3.969123 6.416760 9.765594 14.539397 21.010230 29.307235 40.557973
2025-04-20 3.610406 6.133829 9.708478 14.953541 22.241466 31.783516 44.961352
2025-04-27 3.268675 5.828420 9.578089 15.232917 23.274634 34.009416 49.085329
2025-05-04 2.899124 5.432397 9.271633 15.222419 23.880991 35.659693 52.472467
2025-05-11 2.428532 4.815115 8.573130 14.577561 23.535519 35.972923 54.037344
2025-05-18 2.119899 4.425602 8.183709 14.352229 23.758824 37.052245 56.650461
2025-05-25 1.831331 4.032599 7.749261 14.017441 23.786507 37.834724 58.849971
2025-06-01 1.610589 3.735831 7.448128 13.872191 24.090849 39.025274 61.668616
2025-06-08 1.384488 3.397172 7.042791 13.524695 24.056753 39.707911 63.766434
2025-06-15 1.251108 3.221901 6.903345 13.599064 24.671567 41.352457 67.282774
2025-06-22 1.114969 3.021428 6.698937 13.545372 25.071700 42.677908 70.356277
2025-06-29 1.021408 2.898354 6.624356 13.705358 25.814648 44.534372 74.250218
2025-07-06 0.935843 2.780642 6.548244 13.853807 26.537945 46.373729 78.154938
2025-07-13 0.885798 2.737693 6.611830 14.251735 27.684630 48.892493 83.132601
2025-07-20 0.826190 2.663451 6.606226 14.520372 28.619415 51.099864 87.681678
2025-07-27 0.745159 2.523979 6.455895 14.510158 29.074820 52.558396 91.112964
2025-08-03 0.620210 2.249228 5.998005 13.889506 28.446206 52.265307 91.828447
2025-08-10 0.542841 2.086537 5.761048 13.672681 28.505658 53.068834 94.252799